General economy, cost of materials, interest rates three top
concerns. Reducing expenses leading priority for 2007
BUFFALO GROVE, IL (December 28, 2006) – Owners and managers of
small to medium sized construction and contracting firms are decidedly
more optimistic for their industry’s prospects during the next 12
months, rebounding from their sour mid 2006 projections.
According to the latest IPA Small Business Research Board (IPA SBRB)
nationwide poll of the construction and contracting industry, the Small
Business Confidence Index (SBCI) for the sector jumped 11.34 points to
42.04 from a low point of 30.7 recorded last August. The rebound brought
the construction and contracting category to within a fraction of the
overall SBCI of 42.7 reported during the most recent poll – indicating
that their confidence in the future is nearly on par with the average of
all small businesses in the US.
| SCROLL DOWN TO SEE THE SURVEY DATA
IN TABLE FORM |
The IPA SBRB Construction / Contractor Confidence Index of 42.04 is
still shy of its high point of 49.3 that was recorded during the spring
of 2006. That poll was the first segmented IPA SBRB study of the
construction and contracting industry.
While there have been swings in confidence all measured categories,
none have been as wide as the reported swing in the construction and
contractor industry.
The current rebound can be directly attributed to the opinions that
owners and managers have about the future for the economy as well as
expectations for higher revenues. There is nearly a direct corollary in
the change in opinion on the economy, with 37.5% of the respondents
indicating they expect improvement or 11.5% higher than the 26% who had
the same opinion as reported in the previous study.
Furthermore, 64% of the current respondents believe their revenues
are headed higher, with a full 50% believing their business revenues
will be more than 10% greater than current levels over the next 12
months. By contrast, only 40% projected higher revenues in the summer
study, with 22% of those forecasting revenue increases of 10% or
greater.
The IPA SBRB has been tracking the attitudes of small businesses
since July 2004. The key ingredients for determining the confidence
index are attitudes about the direction of the economy, revenue
predictions and hiring plans.
Of the respondents, 24.6% said they intend to increase their current
workforce levels, a slight decline for the 26% who had the same opinion
in the previous study.
"It is clear that small businesses within the construction and
contracting industry have great expectations as we enter 2007. The
reality of what occurs in this sector is an economic bellweather.
Positive improvement should bode well for nearly every other small
business," said Gregg Steinberg, President of International Profit
Associates, the largest privately-held provider of management consulting
and professional services to small and medium-size businesses in North
America.
"Regardless of the forecast, we can expect the construction and
contracting firms to maintain a tight reign on expenses, including the
resistance to add to their workforce," said Steinberg.
Of all categories measured, the construction and contracting sector
was the only one that ranked reduction of expenses as their leading
priority for 2007. While a critical eye will be kept on swings in the
economy, the construction and contracting firms will take aggressive
measures to manage the cost of materials and react to fluctuations in
interest rates. The general economy, cost of materials and interest
rates are the greatest current concerns.
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board
ascertains and reports the opinions of small business owners and
managers on a wide variety of topics related to their own businesses as
well as national and international issues that may impact their
operations.
The IPA SBRB research includes studies of specific industry segments,
such as Construction & Contracting, Manufacturing. Transportation and
Food Services. The IPA Small Business Research Board will continue to
expand upon the base of industries it tracks.
Participants in IPA SBRB polls provide feedback on significant issues
and allow for real-time insight into the state of small businesses
nationwide. The universe of participants is developed from among small
businesses across the United States. IPA SBRB studies are voluntary
surveys conducted via phone and email. Polls are structured and
supervised through an independent resource.
The latest information about the IPA Small Business Research Board
can be found at http://www.ipasbrb.com.
International Profit Associates, Inc. (IPA) is the largest privately
held provider of management consulting services to small and
medium-sized businesses in North America. IPA and its more than 1,800
professionals offer a wide range of proven and innovative methodologies
to help businesses grow and prosper regardless of the economic cycle.
IPA either provides directly or through its affiliated companies a
comprehensive array of business advisory services, tax and estate
planning services or merger, acquisition and other financial advisory
services in the United States and Canada. More information about IPA can
be found at http://www.ipa-iba.com.
IPA SBRB Q4 SURVEY
December 28, 2006 |
| |
National All
Small Business |
Latest
Construction/ Contracting |
Previous
Construction/ Contracting |
| Latest IPA SBRB Small Business |
42.7 |
42.04 |
30.7 |
| Confidence Index ( IPA SBCI)/Change From Prior Period (if
applicable): |
+3.4 |
+11.34 |
-18.6 |
| 1) What do you
think the outlook for the general economy is for the next twelve
months? |
| Better |
39.0 |
37.5 |
26.0 |
| Worse |
16.0 |
20.3 |
38.0 |
| No Change |
45.0 |
42.0 |
34.0 |
| 2) What are
your revenue expectations for the next twelve months? |
| Expect increase of 10% or more |
38.5 |
50.0 |
22.0 |
| Expect increase of less than 10% |
20.0 |
14.0 |
18.0 |
| Expect revenue will be about the
same |
26.7 |
30.0 |
52.0 |
| Expect decrease of less than 10% |
6.2 |
6.0 |
3.0 |
| Expect decrease of 10% or more |
8.6 |
0.0 |
5.0 |
| 3) What are
your expectations for hiring new employees during the next
twelve months? |
| Increase hiring |
31.0 |
24.6 |
26.0 |
| Decrease work force |
9.6 |
9.3 |
14.0 |
| Remain the same |
44.4 |
53.8 |
49.0 |
| Unsure |
15.0 |
12.3 |
9.0 |
| 4) The issues
currently having greatest impact on your business? (top 5 by
rank) |
| Energy/Fuel Costs |
1 |
5 |
2 |
| Healthcare costs |
2 |
Tied 4 |
5 |
| Economic conditions |
3 |
1 |
4 |
| Taxes |
Tied 4 |
Tied 4 |
-- |
| Cost of materials |
Tied 4 |
2 |
1 |
| Interest rates |
-- |
3 |
-- |
| Finding quality employees |
-- |
-- |
3 |
| 5) The most
important priorities for 2007? (top 4 by rank) |
| Increase revenue |
1 |
2 |
not measured |
| Reduce expenses |
2 |
1 |
‘’ |
| Improve productivity |
3 |
3 |
‘’ |
| Upgrade facilities |
4 |
-- |
‘’ |
| Modify lending |
-- |
4 |
‘’ |
Copyright 2006 International Profit Associates / IPA SBRB.
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board
ascertains and reports the opinions of small business owners and
managers on a wide variety of topics related to their own businesses as
well as national and international issues that may impact their
operations. Participants in the poll provide feedback on significant
issues and allow for real-time insight into the state of small
businesses nationwide. The poll was structured and is supervised through
an independent resource using data collected by phone, email and fax
from small businesses across the United States.
For more information about this poll, results of previous studies or
other matters related to the IPA SBRB, please contact Raymond D. Minkus,
(847) 441-4294.
|