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Transportation Industry Expresses Greatest Confidence Heading into 2007
The general economy along with costs for energy, health care and
materials ranked as leading concerns; Every industry to focus on
increasing revenue, decreasing expenses during 2007.
BUFFALO GROVE, IL (December 21, 2006) -- Small transportation
businesses are by far the most optimistic about the economy and
opportunities for revenue growth during the next 12 months while the
owners and managers of small businesses in the food service industry are
far less confident about their prospects, according to the latest
International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board (IPA SBRB)
study released here today.
In its first comparative study of four major small business
categories -- manufacturing, construction and contracting,
transportation and food services, the latest IPA SBRB poll clearly
indicated that transportation companies believe they will be driving
close to full speed ahead during the coming months. The transportation
industry recorded an IPA SBRB Small Business Confidence Index (SBCI) of
45.7, which was 5.3 points greater than the 42.7 IPA SBCI index for all
businesses regardless of category. Of the four industries studied, the
manufacturing sector was the only other to be higher than the overall
average with an SBCI Index of 43.2. The construction and contracting
group reported an SBCI of 42.04 while the food services industry
recorded a 38.8 SBCI.
This also was the first time that the transportation and food
services sectors were individually studied by the IPA SBRB.
Manufacturing and construction / contracting both were studied at least
once earlier in 2006.
Interestingly, manufacturing showed a slight 1.8 decline from the
previous study while construction / contracting rebounded 11.3 points
from the 31.1 SBCI that was recorded during the summer.
(Analyses on the specific industries will be releases before the end
of 2006.)
Optimism in the transportation sector was fueled by the 45.3% of the
owners and managers who see the economy strengthening and a prediction
by more than 62% of the respondents that they believe their revenue will
increase in 2007. Nearly 30% of the transportation category respondents
predict they will increase hiring.
The improvement in the construction and contracting industry SBCI was
driven largely by the reports from 64% of the respondents that they
believe business will be improving in their industry. A full 50% of
those respondents believe revenues will increase by more than 10% during
the next 12 months.
Nearly 60% of the manufacturing businesses are forecasting revenue
growth for the coming 12 months and almost 30% said they would increase
hiring.
By contrast, the respondents in the food services category are more
pessimistic about their revenue portions for the same period, with 50.3%
looking at an increase. Nevertheless, 30.1% plan to beef up their
hiring.
This is the first time that results for the IPA SBRB poll were
compared on an industry basis. A study comparing regional differences of
all small business was issued for the first time earlier this week. The
key ingredients for determining the confidence index are attitudes about
the direction of the economy, revenue predictions and hiring plans.
Despite the variance in confidence, small business owners were
largely in agreement that the most significant issues they are now
facing include contending with energy expenses and the continuing
increases in the costs of materials as well as health care benefits. The
priorities for 2007 are increasing revenue and decreasing expense.
"It is helpful to recognize the differing attitudes of business
owners and managers, whether by region or by industry," said Gregg
Steinberg, President of International Profit Associates, the largest
privately-held provider of management consulting and professional
services to small and medium-size businesses in North America.
"While we all are contending with what is essentially the same
economy, businesses understand that changes impact nearly everyone
differently. That requires staying abreast of even the slightest of
changes and implementing specific solutions in response to the
challenges," Steinberg added.
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board
ascertains and reports the opinions of small business owners and
managers on a wide variety of topics related to their own businesses as
well as national and international issues that may impact their
operations.
Participants in the poll provide feedback on significant issues and
allow for real-time insight into the state of small businesses
nationwide. The universe of participants is developed from among small
businesses across the United States. More than 550 small business owners
and senior managers participated in this IPA SBRB poll. The IPA SBRB
study is a voluntary survey conducted via phone and email. The poll was
structured and supervised through an independent resource.
The latest information about the IPA Small Business Research Board
can be found at www.ipasbrb.com.
International Profit Associates, Inc. (IPA) is the largest
privately-held provider of management consulting services to small and
medium-size businesses in North America. IPA and its more than 1,800
professionals offer a wide range of proven and innovative methodologies
to help businesses grow and prosper regardless of the economic cycle.
IPA either provides directly or through its affiliated companies a
comprehensive array of business advisory services, tax and estate
planning services or merger, acquisition and other financial advisory
services in the United States and Canada. More information about IPA can
be found at www.ipa-iba.com.
IPA SBRB Q4 SURVEY
December 20, 2006
|
| |
National / Small
Business Study By Industry |
| |
All Small Businesses |
Manufacturing |
Construction/ Contracting |
Transpor-tation |
Food Service |
| Latest IPA SBRB Small Business |
42.7 |
43.2 |
42.04 |
45.7 |
38.8 |
| Confidence Index ( IPA SBCI)/
Change From Prior Period (if applicable): |
+3.4 |
-1.8 |
+11.3 |
-- |
-- |
| 1) What do you think the outlook
for the general economy is for the next twelve months? |
| Better |
39.0 |
40.7 |
37.5 |
45.3 |
36.0 |
| Worse |
16.0 |
10.7 |
20.3 |
15.1 |
22.4 |
| No Change |
45.0 |
48.6 |
42.0 |
39.6 |
41.6 |
| 2) What are your revenue
expectations for the next twelve months? |
| Expect increase of 10% or more |
38.5 |
43.4 |
50.0 |
35.8 |
33.1 |
| Expect increase of less than 10%
|
20.0 |
16.2 |
14.0 |
26.3 |
17.2 |
| Expect revenue will be about the
same |
26.7 |
29.4 |
30.0 |
26.3 |
36.3 |
| Expect decrease of less than 10% |
6.2 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
| Expect decrease of 10% or more |
8.6 |
5.1 |
0.0 |
5.8 |
7.0 |
| 3) What are your expectations
for hiring new employees during the next twelve months? |
| Increase hiring |
31.0 |
29.3 |
24.6 |
29.7 |
30.1 |
| Decrease work force |
9.6 |
7.1 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
9.1 |
| Remain the same |
44.4 |
52.9 |
53.8 |
47.1 |
39.9 |
| Unsure |
15.0 |
10.7 |
12.3 |
13.1 |
20.9 |
| 4) The issues currently having
greatest impact on your business? (top 5 by rank) |
| Energy/Fuel Costs |
1 |
5 |
-- |
1 |
3 |
| Healthcare costs |
2 |
2 |
Tied 4 |
2 |
1 |
| Economic conditions |
3 |
-- |
1 |
-- |
4 |
| Taxes |
Tied 4 |
3 |
Tied 4
|
Tied 3 |
2
|
| Cost of materials |
Tied 4 |
1 |
2
|
Tied 3
|
5
|
| Government regulation |
-- |
4 |
-- |
5 |
-- |
| Interest rates |
-- |
-- |
3 |
-- |
-- |
| Other |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| 5) The most important priorities
for 2007? (top 4 by rank) |
| Increase revenue |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| Reduce expenses |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Improve productivity |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| Upgrade facilities |
4 |
4 |
-- |
4 |
4 |
| Modify Lending |
-- |
-- |
4 |
-- |
-- |
Copyright 2006 International Profit Associates / IPA SBRB.
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board
ascertains and reports the opinions of small business owners and
managers on a wide variety of topics related to their own businesses as
well as national and international issues that may impact their
operations. Participants in the poll provide feedback on significant
issues and allow for real-time insight into the state of small
businesses nationwide. The poll was structured and is supervised through
an independent resource using data collected by phone, email and fax
from small businesses across the United States.
For more information about this poll, results of previous studies or
other matters related to the IPA SBRB, please contact Raymond D. Minkus,
(847) 441-4294.
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