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Western US Small Businesses Most Confident About Future; Small Businesses in South / Southeast Least Confident...
Costs of energy, health care and materials greatest concerns for all owners
/ managers regardless of location; Increasing revenue, decreasing expenses common
goals for 2007.
BUFFALO GROVE, IL (December 20, 2006) -- Owners and managers of small
businesses in the western states are by far the most confident about prospects for
the next 12 months while the near term forecast for the southern and southeastern
states is far less confident, according to the latest International Profit Associates
Small Business Research Board (IPA SBRB) study released here today.
The most recent IPA SBRB national study produced a 45.9 IPA Small Business Confidence
Index (IPA SBCI) for the Western US as compared to an IPA SBCI of 38.2 for the South
and Southeastern US. The overall IPA SBCI for all small businesses in the US is
42.7 for the same reporting period.
The poll also reported that small businesses in the Northeastern US had an IPA
SBCI of 43.47 while the Midwest was at 42.2.
This is the first time that results for the IPA SBRB poll were reported on a
regional basis.
The key ingredients for determining the confidence index are attitudes about
the direction of the economy, revenue predictions and hiring plans.
Despite the variance in confidence, small business owners were largely in agreement
that the most significant issues they are now facing include contending with energy
expenses and the continuing increases in the costs of materials as well as health
care benefits. The priorities for 2007 are increasing revenue and decreasing expense.
The bullish attitude of small business in the Western US is driven by predictions
for revenue growth and increased hiring. More than 63% of the respondents in the
west said they believe revenue will be higher in the next 12 months, with 43% indicating
it will be higher by 10% or more. Concurrently, 35.5% of these businesses said they
will increase hiring in 2007.
Conversely, predictions by businesses in the south and southeast were the most
bearish. Their outlook on the economy was the least positive, with only 35.1% saying
that they felt it would be better over the next 12 months and slightly less than
57% indicating they expect revenue increases. Only 23.5% said they plan on increasing
hiring.
"We know there are strengths in the small business sector and we are hearing
about predictions for growth through 2007. However, the most recent poll -- and
specifically the regional breakouts -- give all of us a clearer picture about the
diversity in attitudes. We now have a benchmark from which to move forward and begin
determining critical changes within the regions," said Gregg Steinberg, President
of International Profit Associates, the largest privately-held provider of management
consulting and professional services to small and medium-size businesses in North
America.
"While the overall national IPA SBCI was 42.7, it showed a boost in confidence
of 3.4 points from the 39.3 index reported at the outset of the third quarter,"
said Steinberg.
"As we have seen from previous years’ polls, end of the year exuberance requires
that small businesses be pro-active to transfer optimism into reality."
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board ascertains
and reports the opinions of small business owners and managers on a wide variety
of topics related to their own businesses as well as national and international
issues that may impact their operations.
Participants in the poll provide feedback on significant issues and allow for
real-time insight into the state of small businesses nationwide. The universe of
participants is developed from among small businesses across the United States.
More than 550 small business owners and senior managers participated in this IPA
SBRB poll. The IPA SBRB study is a voluntary survey conducted via phone and email.
The poll was structured and supervised through an independent resource.
The latest information about the IPA Small Business Research Board can be found
at www.ipasbrb.com.
International Profit Associates, Inc. (IPA) is the largest privately-held provider
of management consulting services to small and medium-size businesses in North America.
IPA and its more than 1,800 professionals offer a wide range of proven and innovative
methodologies to help businesses grow and prosper regardless of the economic cycle.
IPA either provides directly or through its affiliated companies a comprehensive
array of business advisory services, tax and estate planning services or merger,
acquisition and other financial advisory services in the United States and Canada.
More information about IPA can be found at www.ipa-iba.com.
IPA SBRB Q4 SURVEY
December 20,
2006
|
| |
National / Regional Small Business
Study (by location) |
| |
All Areas |
Northeast |
Midwest |
South/ Southeast |
Mountain/ West |
| Latest IPA SBRB Small Business |
42.7 |
43.47 |
42.2 |
38.2 |
45.9 |
| Confidence Index ( IPA SBCI)/ Change From
Prior Period (if applicable): |
+3.4 |
|
|
|
|
| 1) What do you think the outlook for the
general economy is for the next twelve months? |
| Better |
39.0 |
41.5 |
37.1 |
35.1 |
38.9 |
| Worse |
16.0 |
18.7 |
19.7 |
11.9 |
17.6 |
| No Change |
45.0 |
39.8 |
43.2 |
53.0 |
43.5 |
| 2) What are your revenue expectations for
the next twelve months? |
| Expect increase of 10% or more |
38.5 |
29.8 |
42.4 |
40.0 |
43.0 |
| Expect increase of less than 10% |
20.0 |
27.4 |
16.8 |
15.9 |
20.5 |
| Expect revenue will be about the same |
26.7 |
25.0 |
32.6 |
35.6 |
28.0 |
| Expect decrease of less than 10% |
6.2 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
| Expect decrease of 10% or more |
8.6 |
10.5 |
2.3 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
| 3) What are your expectations for hiring
new employees during the next twelve months? |
| Increase hiring |
31.0 |
31.7 |
30.2 |
23.5 |
35.5 |
| Decrease work force |
9.6 |
13.8 |
10.6 |
6.7 |
5.6 |
| Remain the same |
44.4 |
42.3 |
41.9 |
55.3 |
48.6 |
| Unsure |
15.0 |
12.2 |
17.3 |
14.5 |
10.3 |
| 4) The issues currently having greatest
impact on your business? (top 5 by rank) |
| Energy/Fuel Costs |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
Tied 4 |
| Healthcare costs |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
| Economic conditions |
3 |
Tied 3 |
5 |
-- |
Tied 4 |
| Taxes |
Tied 4 |
Tied 3 |
4 |
4 |
-- |
| Cost of materials |
Tied 4 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
2 |
| Government regulation |
-- |
-- |
-- |
5 |
-- |
| Interest rates |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
3 |
| Other |
-- |
4 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
| 5) The most important priorities for 2007?
(top 4 by rank) |
| Increase revenue |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
| Reduce expenses |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| Improve productivity |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
| Upgrade facilities |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
Copyright 2006 International Profit Associates / IPA SBRB.
The International Profit Associates Small Business Research Board ascertains
and reports the opinions of small business owners and managers on a wide variety
of topics related to their own businesses as well as national and international
issues that may impact their operations. Participants in the poll provide feedback
on significant issues and allow for real-time insight into the state of small businesses
nationwide. The poll was structured and is supervised through an independent resource
using data collected by phone, email and fax from small businesses across the United
States.
For more information about this poll, results of previous studies or other matters
related to the IPA SBRB, please contact Raymond D. Minkus, (847) 441-4294.
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